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Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-03-15 · 14:30

Mainz

vs

Freiburg

12.0147.6%
X3.4228.0%
23.9124.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mainz
LLDWWWWWDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Freiburg
LDLDLLLWWD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.60
0.70
Conceded
2.10
20%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.00
1.00
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.40
Against
5.20
8.80
Total
7.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.60
0.70
Goals conceded
2.10
2.10
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Mainz attack

1.40goals per match
Freiburg conceded2.10
Matchup

Freiburg attack

0.60goals per match
Mainz conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
2.40N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.20
8.80
Match total
7.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
1.40N=10
5.10
Match total
3.30
90%9/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
8.50N=10
24.10
Match total
18.80

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
5.00
On target
3.50
11%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,039
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.6%48.1%+0.5 pp
Draw28.0%28.4%+0.4 pp
Away24.5%23.5%-1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.524.4%
BTTS51.2%

Historical average

1.50–0.99

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.1%
1-012.3%
2-19.7%
2-09.4%
0-08.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.56–4.18
Average total9.75

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,039.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.6%
Over 9.548.4%
Over 10.537.6%
Over 11.527.9%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches351
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT40.5%35.5%–45.7% CI
Draw FT37.0%32.2%–42.2% CI
Away FT22.5%18.4%–27.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.1%
2+ goals36.5%
3+ goals13.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.3%
Away39.9%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamMainzForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamFreiburgForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareMainz vs FreiburgCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionBundesligaLeague results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsBundesliga team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.