Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-03-14 · 19:30
12.3041.7%
X3.2829.2%
23.3029.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

St Pauli
LDLWLLWDLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Hoffenheim
DDDLDLWLWW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.00
1.20
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
40%
20%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.30
1.10
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.50
Against
7.20
8.70
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.00
1.20
Goals conceded
1.40
1.90
Total goals
2.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

St Pauli attack

0.70goals per match
Hoffenheim conceded1.40
Matchup

Hoffenheim attack

1.00goals per match
St Pauli conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.50
Corners against
7.20
8.70
Match total
11.40
40%4/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.60
Match total
4.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.20N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
22.00
Match total
23.70

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
2.90
On target
3.80
6%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,338
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.7%42.8%+1.1 pp
Draw29.2%30.2%+1.0 pp
Away29.1%27.1%-2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.544.5%
Over 3.525.1%
BTTS51.9%

Historical average

1.401.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.6%
1-012.0%
2-19.6%
0-08.8%
0-18.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.344.49
Average total9.82

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,338.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.3%
Over 9.551.4%
Over 10.538.7%
Over 11.528.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches438
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT34.9%30.6%–39.5% CI
Draw FT39.0%34.6%–43.7% CI
Away FT26.0%22.1%–30.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.1%
2+ goals33.8%
3+ goals12.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.8%
Away42.2%