Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-05-18 · 14:30
13.2329.7%
X3.5826.8%
22.2143.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Wolfsburg
LLDDDLLLWW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Mainz
DDDLLLLDDD
0W 6D 4L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.70
1.60
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.10
Against
5.40
9.50
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.70
1.60
Goals conceded
1.80
2.90
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Wolfsburg attack

1.30goals per match
Mainz conceded1.80
Matchup

Mainz attack

0.70goals per match
Wolfsburg conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.10
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.40
9.50
Match total
9.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.10
Match total
5.20
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
26.80
Match total
22.40

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
4.50
On target
4.00
11%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches354
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.7%30.2%+0.5 pp
Draw26.8%28.0%+1.1 pp
Away43.4%41.8%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.558.5%
Over 3.534.2%
BTTS61.9%

Historical average

1.331.62

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.0%
1-29.3%
2-19.0%
2-27.6%
0-26.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.665.19
Average total9.85

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=353.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.6%
Over 9.553.0%
Over 10.541.6%
Over 11.529.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches95
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.1%14.1%–30.3% CI
Draw FT40.0%30.7%–50.1% CI
Away FT38.9%29.8%–49.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.61

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.8%
2+ goals53.7%
3+ goals23.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.2%
Away64.2%