Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-05-18 · 14:30
13.2329.7%
X3.5826.8%
22.2143.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Wolfsburg
LLDDDLLLWW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Mainz
DDDLLLLDDD
0W 6D 4L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
0.70
1.60
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.10
Against
5.40
9.50
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.70
1.60
Goals conceded
1.80
2.90
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Wolfsburg attack
1.30goals per matchMainz conceded1.80Matchup
Mainz attack
0.70goals per matchWolfsburg conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.10
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.40
9.50
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.10
Match total
5.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.50N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
26.80
Match total
22.40
Shots
11.80N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
4.50
On target
4.00
11%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches354
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.7%30.2%+0.5 pp
Draw26.8%28.0%+1.1 pp
Away43.4%41.8%-1.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.558.5%
Over 3.534.2%
BTTS61.9%
Historical average
1.33–1.62
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.0%
1-29.3%
2-19.0%
2-27.6%
0-26.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.66–5.19
Average total9.85
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=353.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.6%
Over 9.553.0%
Over 10.541.6%
Over 11.529.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches95
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.1%14.1%–30.3% CI
Draw FT40.0%30.7%–50.1% CI
Away FT38.9%29.8%–49.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.61
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.8%
2+ goals53.7%
3+ goals23.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home43.2%
Away64.2%