Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-05-18 · 14:30
12.1345.0%
X3.4727.6%
23.5127.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Union Berlin
WWWWDLWLLL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Freiburg
WWLLLLWWWD
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.20
1.60
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.90
1.90
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.40
Against
8.10
10.80
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.20
1.60
Goals conceded
1.20
3.10
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Union Berlin attack

1.50goals per match
Freiburg conceded1.20
Matchup

Freiburg attack

1.20goals per match
Union Berlin conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
5.40
Corners against
8.10
10.80
Match total
11.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.20
Match total
3.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
21.10
Match total
23.40

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
4.60
On target
3.40
12%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches604
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.0%44.5%-0.5 pp
Draw27.6%30.0%+2.3 pp
Away27.3%25.5%-1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.528.3%
BTTS54.6%

Historical average

1.521.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.4%
1-011.3%
2-18.1%
2-07.9%
0-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.684.33
Average total10.01

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=604.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.1%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.540.7%
Over 11.531.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches197
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.5%30.1%–43.5% CI
Draw FT38.6%32.1%–45.5% CI
Away FT24.9%19.4%–31.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.2%
2+ goals42.1%
3+ goals17.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.9%
Away48.2%