Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-05-18 · 14:30
11.2974.4%
X6.5914.6%
28.7111.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leverkusen
DWWDWWWWWD
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Augsburg
LLWDLWWLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.50
0.50
Conceded
2.00
70%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
2.10
1.80
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.80N=10
For
5.70N=10
2.50
Against
5.80
10.30
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.50
0.50
Goals conceded
2.00
2.90
Total goals
3.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Leverkusen attack

2.40goals per match
Augsburg conceded2.00
Matchup

Augsburg attack

1.50goals per match
Leverkusen conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.80N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
2.50
Corners against
5.80
10.30
Match total
11.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.10
Match total
3.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
21.00
Match total
23.40

Shots

19.90N=10
Shots
12.90N=10
7.80
On target
4.60
12%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home74.4%82.4%+7.9 pp
Draw14.6%17.6%+3.1 pp
Away11.0%0.0%-11.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.594.1%
Over 2.564.7%
Over 3.552.9%
BTTS64.7%

Historical average

2.650.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-017.6%
1-111.8%
4-011.8%
2-111.8%
3-211.8%

Comparable corner averages

7.533.88
Average total11.41

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.582.4%
Over 9.576.5%
Over 10.570.6%
Over 11.547.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.9%31.0%–73.8% CI
Draw FT29.4%13.3%–53.1% CI
Away FT17.6%6.2%–41.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.5%
2+ goals41.2%
3+ goals23.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.7%
Away35.3%