Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-05-18 · 14:30
13.0031.9%
X4.4321.6%
22.0646.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Hoffenheim
WDDDLWLWWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Bayern Munich
LWWLLDWLWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
2.30
1.60
Conceded
2.50
60%
Over 2.5
100%
80%
BTTS
90%
By half
1.60
1H goals
2.40
1.80
2H goals
2.40
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.60N=10
For
5.70N=10
4.20
Against
2.90
10.80
Total
8.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
very strongBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
2.30
1.60
Goals conceded
2.50
3.40
Total goals
4.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Hoffenheim attack
1.80goals per matchBayern Munich conceded2.50Matchup
Bayern Munich attack
2.30goals per matchHoffenheim conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
1.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
4.20
Corners against
2.90
10.80
Match total
8.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.80
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.90N=10
Committed
8.60N=10
21.30
Match total
18.90
Shots
16.10N=10
Shots
17.40N=10
5.80
On target
6.30
11%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier C
Comparable matches16
Method1X2
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.9%25.0%-6.9 pp
Draw21.6%12.5%-9.1 pp
Away46.5%62.5%+16.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.593.8%
Over 2.575.0%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS68.8%
Historical average
1.69–1.94
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-212.5%
1-312.5%
2-312.5%
2-06.3%
1-16.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.50–4.63
Average total10.13
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.8%
Over 9.556.3%
Over 10.543.8%
Over 11.525.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches59
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.3%12.0%–32.3% CI
Draw FT40.7%29.1%–53.4% CI
Away FT39.0%27.6%–51.7% CI
Remaining goals
2.03
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal88.1%
2+ goals69.5%
3+ goals30.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home64.4%
Away72.9%