Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-05-18 · 14:30
13.0031.9%
X4.4321.6%
22.0646.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hoffenheim
WDDDLWLWWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Bayern Munich
LWWLLDWLWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
2.30
1.60
Conceded
2.50
60%
Over 2.5
100%
80%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.60
1H goals
2.40
1.80
2H goals
2.40
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
5.70N=10
4.20
Against
2.90
10.80
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

very strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
2.30
1.60
Goals conceded
2.50
3.40
Total goals
4.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Hoffenheim attack

1.80goals per match
Bayern Munich conceded2.50
Matchup

Bayern Munich attack

2.30goals per match
Hoffenheim conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
1.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
4.20
Corners against
2.90
10.80
Match total
8.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.80
Match total
3.70
90%9/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
8.60N=10
21.30
Match total
18.90

Shots

16.10N=10
Shots
17.40N=10
5.80
On target
6.30
11%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier C
Comparable matches16
Method1X2
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.9%25.0%-6.9 pp
Draw21.6%12.5%-9.1 pp
Away46.5%62.5%+16.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.593.8%
Over 2.575.0%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS68.8%

Historical average

1.691.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-212.5%
1-312.5%
2-312.5%
2-06.3%
1-16.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.504.63
Average total10.13

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.8%
Over 9.556.3%
Over 10.543.8%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches59
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.3%12.0%–32.3% CI
Draw FT40.7%29.1%–53.4% CI
Away FT39.0%27.6%–51.7% CI

Remaining goals

2.03

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.1%
2+ goals69.5%
3+ goals30.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.4%
Away72.9%