Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-05-18 · 14:30
12.3540.8%
X3.9724.2%
22.7435.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heidenheim
WWDDLLDWLD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
FC Koln
WLLDDDDDLD
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.90
1.50
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
10%
90%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.70
1.90
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.90
Against
6.60
9.40
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded
1.40
3.00
Total goals
2.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
90%9/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Heidenheim attack

1.50goals per match
FC Koln conceded1.40
Matchup

FC Koln attack

0.90goals per match
Heidenheim conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.30
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.90
Corners against
6.60
9.40
Match total
10.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.70
Match total
4.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
21.10
Match total
24.20

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
3.90
On target
4.10
12%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.8%25.0%-15.8 pp
Draw24.2%16.7%-7.5 pp
Away35.0%58.3%+23.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.558.3%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.251.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-116.7%
3-116.7%
0-216.7%
0-08.3%
2-38.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.754.00
Average total8.75

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.3%
Over 9.533.3%
Over 10.525.0%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.6%6.2%–41.0% CI
Draw FT35.3%17.3%–58.7% CI
Away FT47.1%26.2%–69.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.6%
2+ goals47.1%
3+ goals29.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.3%
Away64.7%