Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-05-18 · 14:30
11.1682.6%
X8.9910.7%
214.246.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Dortmund
WLDWWLWLDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Darmstadt
LDLDDLDLWL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.00
1.40
Conceded
1.90
70%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
40%

By half

2.30
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.20
Against
6.30
10.60
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded
1.90
3.80
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Dortmund attack

2.40goals per match
Darmstadt conceded1.90
Matchup

Darmstadt attack

1.00goals per match
Dortmund conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
4.20
Corners against
6.30
10.60
Match total
9.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.90N=10
3.90
Match total
4.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

8.90N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
19.70
Match total
23.60

Shots

17.00N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
7.30
On target
3.10
14%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home82.6%60.0%-22.6 pp
Draw10.7%30.0%+19.3 pp
Away6.7%10.0%+3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.530.0%
BTTS60.0%

Historical average

2.201.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-130.0%
2-020.0%
5-310.0%
2-110.0%
3-110.0%

Comparable corner averages

10.002.60
Average total12.60

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.580.0%
Over 9.580.0%
Over 10.570.0%
Over 11.570.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT75.0%46.8%–91.1% CI
Draw FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Away FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.92

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals83.3%
3+ goals58.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home91.7%
Away58.3%