Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-05-11 · 17:30
12.2143.3%
X3.9024.5%
22.9832.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mainz
LDLDWDWWWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Dortmund
DWWDDWWWWL
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.80
0.70
Conceded
0.80
20%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.50
1.10
2H goals
1.10
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

8.00N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.70
Against
6.10
11.70
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.80
0.70
Goals conceded
0.80
2.20
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Mainz attack

1.50goals per match
Dortmund conceded0.80
Matchup

Dortmund attack

1.80goals per match
Mainz conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.00N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.70
Corners against
6.10
11.70
Match total
11.20
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
1.80N=10
5.90
Match total
3.10
90%9/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

14.60N=10
Committed
7.70N=10
29.50
Match total
18.90

Shots

17.40N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
5.40
On target
5.80
9%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches41
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.3%34.1%-9.2 pp
Draw24.5%29.3%+4.7 pp
Away32.1%36.6%+4.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.2%
Over 2.568.3%
Over 3.546.3%
BTTS73.2%

Historical average

1.681.61

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-214.6%
0-09.8%
1-39.8%
1-19.8%
2-27.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.414.51
Average total10.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=41.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.553.7%
Over 10.548.8%
Over 11.541.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Draw FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Away FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.6%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.5%
Away45.5%