Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-05-11 · 14:30
11.2974.3%
X6.5414.6%
28.6411.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

RB Leipzig
WWLLWWWDWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Werder Bremen
DDWWWLLDLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.20
0.70
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.60
1.30
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.40N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.40
Against
6.20
11.80
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.20
0.70
Goals conceded
1.30
2.70
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

RB Leipzig attack

2.00goals per match
Werder Bremen conceded1.30
Matchup

Werder Bremen attack

1.20goals per match
RB Leipzig conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.00
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.40N=10
Corners for
2.30N=10
4.40
Corners against
6.20
11.80
Match total
8.50
90%9/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
0%0/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.40
Match total
6.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
22.20
Match total
25.10

Shots

20.20N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
7.80
On target
4.50
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home74.3%81.3%+7.0 pp
Draw14.6%12.5%-2.1 pp
Away11.1%6.3%-4.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.543.8%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

2.440.81

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-018.8%
1-018.8%
2-112.5%
4-012.5%
3-16.3%

Comparable corner averages

7.313.69
Average total11.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.593.8%
Over 9.581.3%
Over 10.556.3%
Over 11.531.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT58.3%32.0%–80.7% CI
Draw FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Away FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.67

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away33.3%