Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-05-11 · 14:30
11.7355.5%
X4.0623.6%
24.5920.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Freiburg
WDWLDDLLDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Heidenheim
LWDDWDLDDW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.30
2.00
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.50
1.70
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

3.60N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.20
Against
6.00
7.80
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.30
2.00
Goals conceded
1.20
3.60
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Freiburg attack

1.60goals per match
Heidenheim conceded1.20
Matchup

Heidenheim attack

1.30goals per match
Freiburg conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.20
Corners against
6.00
7.80
Match total
10.60
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.40N=10
4.30
Match total
3.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
20.90
Match total
25.70

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
4.90
On target
2.80
12%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches274
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.5%58.8%+3.3 pp
Draw23.6%22.3%-1.4 pp
Away20.9%19.0%-1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.5%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.538.3%
BTTS61.3%

Historical average

1.971.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.8%
1-111.7%
2-011.7%
3-18.0%
1-06.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.164.09
Average total10.26

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=274.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.0%
Over 9.556.6%
Over 10.544.2%
Over 11.532.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches46
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.5%30.2%–57.8% CI
Draw FT43.5%30.2%–57.8% CI
Away FT13.0%6.1%–25.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.52

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.9%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals21.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.2%
Away41.3%