Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-05-11 · 14:30
11.7355.5%
X4.0623.6%
24.5920.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Freiburg
WDWLDDLLDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Heidenheim
LWDDWDLDDW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.30
2.00
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.90
1H goals
1.50
1.70
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
3.60N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.20
Against
6.00
7.80
Total
10.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.30
2.00
Goals conceded
1.20
3.60
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Freiburg attack
1.60goals per matchHeidenheim conceded1.20Matchup
Heidenheim attack
1.30goals per matchFreiburg conceded2.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.20
Corners against
6.00
7.80
Match total
10.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
1.40N=10
4.30
Match total
3.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.60N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
20.90
Match total
25.70
Shots
13.70N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
4.90
On target
2.80
12%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches274
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.5%58.8%+3.3 pp
Draw23.6%22.3%-1.4 pp
Away20.9%19.0%-1.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.586.5%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.538.3%
BTTS61.3%
Historical average
1.97–1.15
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-112.8%
1-111.7%
2-011.7%
3-18.0%
1-06.9%
Comparable corner averages
6.16–4.09
Average total10.26
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=274.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.0%
Over 9.556.6%
Over 10.544.2%
Over 11.532.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches46
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.5%30.2%–57.8% CI
Draw FT43.5%30.2%–57.8% CI
Away FT13.0%6.1%–25.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.52
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.9%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals21.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home65.2%
Away41.3%