Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-05-11 · 14:30
12.8034.3%
X3.3828.4%
22.5737.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

FC Koln
DDLWLLLWLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Union Berlin
LDLLDWLDLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
0.20
1.60
Conceded
1.10
30%
Over 2.5
10%
30%
BTTS
10%

By half

0.50
1H goals
0.50
1.70
2H goals
0.80
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.00
Against
5.90
10.90
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
0.20
1.60
Goals conceded
1.10
2.20
Total goals
1.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
10%1/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
30%3/10
BTTS
10%1/10
Matchup

FC Koln attack

0.60goals per match
Union Berlin conceded1.10
Matchup

Union Berlin attack

0.20goals per match
FC Koln conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.10
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.10
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.90
10.90
Match total
8.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
0%0/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.30
Match total
4.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
22.70
Match total
21.30

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
3.90
On target
3.30
5%
Conversion
2%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches672
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.3%31.7%-2.6 pp
Draw28.4%28.3%-0.1 pp
Away37.3%40.0%+2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.525.3%
BTTS51.9%

Historical average

1.181.32

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.9%
0-112.1%
1-09.1%
0-08.6%
2-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.014.97
Average total9.98

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=672.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.8%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.530.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches222
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.9%22.4%–34.2% CI
Draw FT37.8%31.7%–44.4% CI
Away FT34.2%28.3%–40.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.9%
2+ goals36.5%
3+ goals13.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.7%
Away52.3%