Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-05-05 · 18:30
12.9932.1%
X3.5826.8%
22.3341.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heidenheim
DWWDDLLDWL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Mainz
DDDDLLLLDD
0W 6D 4L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.60
1.40
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
30%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.10
Against
4.80
9.60
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.60
1.40
Goals conceded
1.70
2.80
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Heidenheim attack

1.40goals per match
Mainz conceded1.70
Matchup

Mainz attack

0.60goals per match
Heidenheim conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.80
9.60
Match total
8.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.90
Match total
5.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
21.60
Match total
24.30

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
3.60
On target
3.60
12%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches306
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.1%32.0%-0.0 pp
Draw26.8%31.0%+4.3 pp
Away41.2%36.9%-4.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.7%
BTTS58.2%

Historical average

1.301.46

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.7%
2-19.2%
2-28.5%
0-08.2%
0-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.034.74
Average total9.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=305.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.9%
Over 9.552.8%
Over 10.538.7%
Over 11.528.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches88
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%17.1%–35.0% CI
Draw FT43.2%33.3%–53.6% CI
Away FT31.8%23.0%–42.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.6%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals15.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.9%
Away54.5%