Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-05-05 · 14:30
11.9748.6%
X3.4727.6%
24.0223.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Union Berlin
DWWWWDLWLL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Bochum
WDLLLDLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.80
1.30
Conceded
2.20
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.50
1.60
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
4.60N=10
5.40
Against
6.70
10.50
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded
2.20
2.60
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Union Berlin attack

1.30goals per match
Bochum conceded2.20
Matchup

Bochum attack

0.80goals per match
Union Berlin conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
5.40
Corners against
6.70
10.50
Match total
11.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.50
Match total
5.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
20.70
Match total
24.80

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
4.60
On target
3.30
10%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches900
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.6%48.1%-0.5 pp
Draw27.6%27.7%+0.1 pp
Away23.8%24.2%+0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.524.1%
BTTS51.9%

Historical average

1.501.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.4%
1-011.6%
2-110.7%
2-09.0%
0-08.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.664.24
Average total9.90

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=900.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.6%
Over 9.550.3%
Over 10.539.9%
Over 11.529.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches295
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT39.0%33.6%–44.7% CI
Draw FT35.6%30.3%–41.2% CI
Away FT25.4%20.8%–30.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.6%
2+ goals36.6%
3+ goals15.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.2%
Away41.0%