Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-05-05 · 14:30
11.9748.6%
X3.4727.6%
24.0223.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Union Berlin
DWWWWDLWLL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Bochum
WDLLLDLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
0.80
1.30
Conceded
2.20
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.50
1.60
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
4.60N=10
5.40
Against
6.70
10.50
Total
11.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded
2.20
2.60
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Union Berlin attack
1.30goals per matchBochum conceded2.20Matchup
Bochum attack
0.80goals per matchUnion Berlin conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
5.40
Corners against
6.70
10.50
Match total
11.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.50
Match total
5.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.50N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
20.70
Match total
24.80
Shots
12.90N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
4.60
On target
3.30
10%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches900
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.6%48.1%-0.5 pp
Draw27.6%27.7%+0.1 pp
Away23.8%24.2%+0.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.524.1%
BTTS51.9%
Historical average
1.50–1.00
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.4%
1-011.6%
2-110.7%
2-09.0%
0-08.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.66–4.24
Average total9.90
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=900.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.6%
Over 9.550.3%
Over 10.539.9%
Over 11.529.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches295
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT39.0%33.6%–44.7% CI
Draw FT35.6%30.3%–41.2% CI
Away FT25.4%20.8%–30.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.32
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.6%
2+ goals36.6%
3+ goals15.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.2%
Away41.0%