Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-05-04 · 17:30
12.3640.6%
X3.6426.3%
22.9033.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

FC Koln
LDDLWLLLWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Freiburg
LWWLLLLWWW
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
1.30
1.70
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
3.10N=10
6.10
Against
8.10
11.60
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.30
1.70
Goals conceded
1.50
2.30
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

FC Koln attack

0.60goals per match
Freiburg conceded1.50
Matchup

Freiburg attack

1.30goals per match
FC Koln conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.60
1.30
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
6.10
Corners against
8.10
11.60
Match total
11.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.20
Match total
3.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
21.80
Match total
23.70

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
3.40
On target
3.70
5%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches399
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.6%38.8%-1.8 pp
Draw26.3%28.3%+2.0 pp
Away33.1%32.8%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.557.4%
Over 3.535.8%
BTTS63.7%

Historical average

1.511.39

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.5%
1-29.8%
2-18.8%
1-08.8%
2-27.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.334.84
Average total10.17

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=398.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.8%
Over 9.556.3%
Over 10.543.7%
Over 11.533.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches102
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.3%27.6%–45.9% CI
Draw FT36.3%27.6%–45.9% CI
Away FT27.5%19.7%–36.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.56

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.4%
2+ goals42.2%
3+ goals21.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.8%
Away50.0%