Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-05-04 · 14:30
12.3041.6%
X3.7525.5%
22.9132.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Werder Bremen
DLWDWLDLLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
M'gladbach
LLLDLLDDWL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.30
1.50
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.50
1.30
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.70
Against
7.30
9.50
Total
11.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded
2.10
2.80
Total goals
3.40
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Werder Bremen attack

1.30goals per match
M'gladbach conceded2.10
Matchup

M'gladbach attack

1.30goals per match
Werder Bremen conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
5.70
Corners against
7.30
9.50
Match total
11.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.70
Match total
4.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
21.10
Match total
21.90

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
3.30
On target
3.60
12%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches154
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.6%40.9%-0.7 pp
Draw25.5%26.6%+1.1 pp
Away32.9%32.5%-0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.536.4%
BTTS61.7%

Historical average

1.581.37

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-213.0%
0-011.7%
1-09.7%
1-18.4%
2-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.474.84
Average total10.32

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=154.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.1%
Over 9.559.1%
Over 10.546.1%
Over 11.535.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches45
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.6%23.2%–50.2% CI
Draw FT48.9%35.0%–63.0% CI
Away FT15.6%7.7%–28.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.13

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal60.0%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals17.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.3%
Away31.1%