Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-05-04 · 14:30
12.1345.0%
X4.0423.7%
23.0731.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Stuttgart
WWDWWWDWDW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Bayern Munich
WLWWLLDWLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
2.50
Scored
2.30
0.90
Conceded
2.20
60%
Over 2.5
90%
60%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.60
1H goals
2.30
1.80
2H goals
2.20
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.00N=10
For
6.80N=10
4.70
Against
2.90
10.70
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
2.30
0.90
Goals conceded
2.20
3.40
Total goals
4.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Stuttgart attack
2.50goals per matchBayern Munich conceded2.20Matchup
Bayern Munich attack
2.30goals per matchStuttgart conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
1.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.90
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
6.80N=10
4.70
Corners against
2.90
10.70
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.00N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.80
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
7.90N=10
Committed
8.20N=10
19.60
Match total
18.10
Shots
16.30N=10
Shots
18.30N=10
7.50
On target
6.50
15%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.0%42.9%-2.2 pp
Draw23.7%35.7%+12.0 pp
Away31.2%21.4%-9.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.592.9%
Over 2.571.4%
Over 3.564.3%
BTTS85.7%
Historical average
1.86–1.93
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-221.4%
3-214.3%
1-114.3%
4-37.1%
0-27.1%
Comparable corner averages
6.00–5.00
Average total11.00
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.528.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Draw FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Away FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.79
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals28.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home57.1%
Away64.3%