Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-05-04 · 14:30
11.8551.8%
X4.3222.2%
23.6926.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Dortmund
LWLDWWLWLD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Augsburg
DLLWDLWWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.50
1.70
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.70
1.60
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
5.20N=10
3.50
Against
5.50
9.60
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.50
1.70
Goals conceded
1.60
3.60
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Dortmund attack

1.90goals per match
Augsburg conceded1.60
Matchup

Augsburg attack

1.50goals per match
Dortmund conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.80
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.50
9.60
Match total
10.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.30
Match total
3.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
15.20N=10
20.20
Match total
24.40

Shots

16.40N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
6.40
On target
4.40
12%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches21
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.8%66.7%+14.8 pp
Draw22.2%14.3%-7.9 pp
Away26.0%19.0%-6.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.576.2%
Over 3.542.9%
BTTS71.4%

Historical average

2.191.33

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-123.8%
3-114.3%
0-09.5%
1-14.8%
3-24.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.675.52
Average total11.19

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=21.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.9%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.557.1%
Over 11.547.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches36
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.7%27.1%–57.8% CI
Draw FT38.9%24.8%–55.1% CI
Away FT19.4%9.8%–35.0% CI

Remaining goals

2.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals72.2%
3+ goals38.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away61.1%