Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-05-03 · 19:30
15.4017.8%
X5.1918.5%
21.5163.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hoffenheim
DWDDDLWLWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
RB Leipzig
LWDLDLWWWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
2.50
1.60
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
90%
80%
BTTS
100%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.60
1.80
2H goals
2.70
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.30
Against
3.90
10.90
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
2.50
1.60
Goals conceded
1.80
3.40
Total goals
4.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
BTTS
100%10/10
Matchup

Hoffenheim attack

1.80goals per match
RB Leipzig conceded1.80
Matchup

RB Leipzig attack

2.50goals per match
Hoffenheim conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.30
Corners against
3.90
10.90
Match total
9.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.20
Match total
5.30
90%9/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

10.20N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
22.20
Match total
22.20

Shots

15.80N=10
Shots
15.10N=10
5.60
On target
6.10
11%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.8%18.8%+0.9 pp
Draw18.5%18.8%+0.2 pp
Away63.7%62.5%-1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.593.8%
Over 2.568.8%
Over 3.562.5%
BTTS62.5%

Historical average

1.382.63

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-218.8%
2-212.5%
3-212.5%
2-36.3%
1-16.3%

Comparable corner averages

3.885.50
Average total9.38

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.3%
Over 9.556.3%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.518.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI
Draw FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Away FT76.9%49.7%–91.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.46

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals69.2%
3+ goals46.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home30.8%
Away84.6%