Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-04-28 · 16:30
11.5462.1%
X4.3422.0%
26.0215.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mainz
LLDLDWDWWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
FC Koln
DWLLDDDDDL
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.90
0.70
Conceded
1.40
20%
Over 2.5
10%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.70
1.10
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

8.80N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.40
Against
6.30
12.20
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.90
0.70
Goals conceded
1.40
2.10
Total goals
2.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
10%1/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Mainz attack

1.40goals per match
FC Koln conceded1.40
Matchup

FC Koln attack

0.90goals per match
Mainz conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.80N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.40
Corners against
6.30
12.20
Match total
10.30
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.30
Match total
4.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.50N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
29.20
Match total
24.50

Shots

17.70N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
5.60
On target
4.10
8%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches289
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.1%66.4%+4.3 pp
Draw22.0%18.3%-3.7 pp
Away15.9%15.2%-0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.533.6%
BTTS46.7%

Historical average

2.120.80

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-011.8%
2-011.1%
1-110.0%
2-19.7%
3-07.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.343.73
Average total10.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=289.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.7%
Over 9.552.2%
Over 10.543.3%
Over 11.533.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches71
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT49.3%38.0%–60.7% CI
Draw FT33.8%23.9%–45.4% CI
Away FT16.9%9.9%–27.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.42

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.1%
2+ goals39.4%
3+ goals15.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home67.6%
Away42.3%