Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-04-28 · 16:30
11.5462.1%
X4.3422.0%
26.0215.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Mainz
LLDLDWDWWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
FC Koln
DWLLDDDDDL
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
0.90
0.70
Conceded
1.40
20%
Over 2.5
10%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.70
1.10
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
8.80N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.40
Against
6.30
12.20
Total
10.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.90
0.70
Goals conceded
1.40
2.10
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Mainz attack
1.40goals per matchFC Koln conceded1.40Matchup
FC Koln attack
0.90goals per matchMainz conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.80N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.40
Corners against
6.30
12.20
Match total
10.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.30
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.50N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
29.20
Match total
24.50
Shots
17.70N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
5.60
On target
4.10
8%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches289
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.1%66.4%+4.3 pp
Draw22.0%18.3%-3.7 pp
Away15.9%15.2%-0.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.533.6%
BTTS46.7%
Historical average
2.12–0.80
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-011.8%
2-011.1%
1-110.0%
2-19.7%
3-07.3%
Comparable corner averages
6.34–3.73
Average total10.08
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=289.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.7%
Over 9.552.2%
Over 10.543.3%
Over 11.533.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches71
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT49.3%38.0%–60.7% CI
Draw FT33.8%23.9%–45.4% CI
Away FT16.9%9.9%–27.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.42
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.1%
2+ goals39.4%
3+ goals15.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home67.6%
Away42.3%