Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-04-28 · 14:30
12.3341.1%
X3.4627.7%
23.0731.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

M'gladbach
WWDWLDWDLL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Union Berlin
LLDLLDWLDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
0.20
1.60
Conceded
1.50
90%
Over 2.5
20%
70%
BTTS
10%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.60
2.20
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.70
Against
6.60
9.60
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
0.20
1.60
Goals conceded
1.50
3.70
Total goals
1.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
10%1/10
Matchup

M'gladbach attack

2.10goals per match
Union Berlin conceded1.50
Matchup

Union Berlin attack

0.20goals per match
M'gladbach conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.10
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
2.70N=10
3.70
Corners against
6.60
9.60
Match total
9.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
0%0/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.70
Match total
3.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
23.90
Match total
21.00

Shots

16.00N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
5.10
On target
2.80
13%
Conversion
2%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches837
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.1%43.4%+2.3 pp
Draw27.7%28.9%+1.2 pp
Away31.2%27.7%-3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.527.4%
BTTS52.7%

Historical average

1.461.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.3%
1-09.9%
0-09.8%
2-19.3%
2-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.624.55
Average total10.18

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=837.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.9%
Over 9.556.5%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.531.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches264
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.7%28.3%–39.6% CI
Draw FT43.6%37.7%–49.6% CI
Away FT22.7%18.1%–28.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.9%
2+ goals36.7%
3+ goals14.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.8%
Away40.5%