Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-04-27 · 14:30
11.6857.0%
X4.4121.7%
24.5121.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

RB Leipzig
WWWLLWWWDW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Dortmund
DDWWDDWWWW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.80
0.70
Conceded
0.50
50%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.60N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.90
Against
7.20
11.50
Total
11.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.80
0.70
Goals conceded
0.50
2.60
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

RB Leipzig attack

1.90goals per match
Dortmund conceded0.50
Matchup

Dortmund attack

1.80goals per match
RB Leipzig conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.10
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
80%8/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.70
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.60N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.90
Corners against
7.20
11.50
Match total
11.60
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.30
Match total
3.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.20N=10
Committed
8.20N=10
22.60
Match total
19.50

Shots

19.60N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
7.70
On target
5.50
10%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.0%60.0%+3.0 pp
Draw21.7%33.3%+11.6 pp
Away21.2%6.7%-14.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.520.0%
BTTS33.3%

Historical average

1.600.67

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-020.0%
0-020.0%
3-013.3%
2-16.7%
1-16.7%

Comparable corner averages

7.274.53
Average total11.80

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.566.7%
Over 10.560.0%
Over 11.553.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Draw FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Away FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.3%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals13.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.7%
Away46.7%