Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-04-27 · 14:30
12.3341.1%
X3.5626.9%
23.0031.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Freiburg
DWDWLDDLLD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Wolfsburg
LLWDDLDLWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.80
1.90
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
40%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.50
1.50
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
4.80N=10
3.80
Against
6.10
8.20
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.80
1.90
Goals conceded
1.70
3.50
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Freiburg attack

1.60goals per match
Wolfsburg conceded1.70
Matchup

Wolfsburg attack

0.80goals per match
Freiburg conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.80
Corners against
6.10
8.20
Match total
10.90
40%4/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.90
Match total
4.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
22.00
Match total
22.70

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
4.90
On target
4.20
12%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches584
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.1%42.5%+1.3 pp
Draw26.9%28.9%+2.0 pp
Away31.9%28.6%-3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.528.9%
BTTS58.2%

Historical average

1.531.21

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.9%
2-110.3%
1-29.2%
2-08.6%
1-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.614.54
Average total10.15

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=583.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.3%
Over 9.554.4%
Over 10.540.3%
Over 11.531.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches151
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.4%29.2%–44.3% CI
Draw FT39.7%32.3%–47.7% CI
Away FT23.8%17.7%–31.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.5%
2+ goals45.7%
3+ goals18.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.3%
Away47.7%