Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-04-27 · 14:30
11.8152.9%
X4.0923.4%
24.0523.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Augsburg
DWDLLDWWDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Werder Bremen
LDDWWWLLDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.90
1.10
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.70
1.30
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.00
Against
6.20
9.60
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded
1.50
2.50
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Augsburg attack

1.40goals per match
Werder Bremen conceded1.50
Matchup

Werder Bremen attack

0.90goals per match
Augsburg conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
5.00
Corners against
6.20
9.60
Match total
8.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.90
Match total
5.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
23.10
Match total
24.10

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
4.70
On target
4.00
11%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches107
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.9%57.0%+4.1 pp
Draw23.4%28.0%+4.6 pp
Away23.7%15.0%-8.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.538.3%
BTTS58.9%

Historical average

1.941.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.9%
2-111.2%
1-09.3%
4-08.4%
2-08.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.163.84
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=107.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.4%
Over 9.557.9%
Over 10.540.2%
Over 11.529.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.0%17.2%–51.6% CI
Draw FT52.0%33.5%–70.0% CI
Away FT16.0%6.4%–34.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.56

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.0%
2+ goals48.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away56.0%