Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-04-21 · 16:30
12.5537.5%
X3.8424.9%
22.5537.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Dortmund
WLWLDWWLWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Leverkusen
WWDWWWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
2.10
1.60
Conceded
0.80
70%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
7.30N=10
3.30
Against
3.20
10.20
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
2.10
1.60
Goals conceded
0.80
3.50
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Dortmund attack

1.90goals per match
Leverkusen conceded0.80
Matchup

Leverkusen attack

2.10goals per match
Dortmund conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
1.00
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.10
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
7.30N=10
3.30
Corners against
3.20
10.20
Match total
10.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.20
Match total
3.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.00N=10
Committed
7.80N=10
19.20
Match total
19.10

Shots

17.70N=10
Shots
17.50N=10
6.70
On target
5.70
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches50
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.5%36.0%-1.5 pp
Draw24.9%24.0%-0.9 pp
Away37.5%40.0%+2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.592.0%
Over 2.568.0%
Over 3.552.0%
BTTS74.0%

Historical average

1.821.66

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.0%
3-112.0%
2-210.0%
0-18.0%
1-28.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.105.22
Average total10.32

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=50.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.0%
Over 9.554.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.538.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%5.8%–39.2% CI
Draw FT16.7%5.8%–39.2% CI
Away FT66.7%43.7%–83.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.83

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals55.6%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.4%
Away77.8%