Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 17:30
14.9419.4%
X4.5121.3%
21.6259.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Union Berlin
LDWWWWDLWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Bayern Munich
WWLWWLLDWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
2.20
1.10
Conceded
2.10
40%
Over 2.5
90%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
2.30
1.30
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
6.70N=10
5.20
Against
2.70
10.70
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
2.20
1.10
Goals conceded
2.10
2.30
Total goals
4.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Union Berlin attack

1.20goals per match
Bayern Munich conceded2.10
Matchup

Bayern Munich attack

2.20goals per match
Union Berlin conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
6.70N=10
5.20
Corners against
2.70
10.70
Match total
9.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.60
Match total
4.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
8.40N=10
21.90
Match total
19.20

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
17.90N=10
4.50
On target
6.40
10%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches62
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.4%11.3%-8.1 pp
Draw21.3%24.2%+2.9 pp
Away59.3%64.5%+5.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.540.3%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

0.982.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.5%
0-39.7%
2-28.1%
0-28.1%
1-28.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.086.40
Average total10.48

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=62.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.0%
Over 9.558.1%
Over 10.545.2%
Over 11.535.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Draw FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Away FT53.8%29.1%–76.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals30.8%
3+ goals7.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home23.1%
Away53.8%