Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 14:30
12.1245.2%
X4.0223.8%
23.0931.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hoffenheim
LDWDDDLWLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
M'gladbach
DLLLDLLDDW
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.30
1.60
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.70
1.60
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.10
Against
7.50
10.50
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.30
1.60
Goals conceded
2.00
3.20
Total goals
3.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Hoffenheim attack

1.60goals per match
M'gladbach conceded2.00
Matchup

M'gladbach attack

1.30goals per match
Hoffenheim conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.10
Corners against
7.50
10.50
Match total
11.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.10N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.30
Match total
4.30
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.20N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
22.10
Match total
21.90

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
5.40
On target
3.40
11%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches19
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.2%42.1%-3.1 pp
Draw23.8%21.1%-2.8 pp
Away31.0%36.8%+5.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.589.5%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.547.4%
BTTS57.9%

Historical average

1.631.74

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-210.5%
1-110.5%
1-010.5%
0-210.5%
2-010.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.324.58
Average total10.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=19.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.9%
Over 9.547.4%
Over 10.547.4%
Over 11.542.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.4%27.3%–68.3% CI
Draw FT31.6%15.4%–54.0% CI
Away FT21.1%8.5%–43.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.42

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.9%
2+ goals36.8%
3+ goals15.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.2%
Away42.1%