Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 14:30
16.2415.4%
X5.1018.8%
21.4665.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Heidenheim
WDWWDDLLDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
RB Leipzig
LLWDLDLWWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
2.30
1.20
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
90%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.50
1.80
2H goals
2.70
70%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
6.20N=10
For
5.40N=10
4.10
Against
3.90
10.30
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
2.30
1.20
Goals conceded
1.90
2.70
Total goals
4.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Heidenheim attack
1.50goals per matchRB Leipzig conceded1.90Matchup
RB Leipzig attack
2.30goals per matchHeidenheim conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
1.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
4.10
Corners against
3.90
10.30
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.90
Match total
5.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.20N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
21.50
Match total
22.30
Shots
12.80N=10
Shots
15.00N=10
3.30
On target
5.90
12%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches48
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home15.4%12.5%-2.9 pp
Draw18.8%16.7%-2.2 pp
Away65.8%70.8%+5.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.541.7%
BTTS54.2%
Historical average
0.88–2.17
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-212.5%
1-312.5%
0-110.4%
1-08.3%
1-18.3%
Comparable corner averages
3.88–5.85
Average total9.73
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=48.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.6%
Over 9.558.3%
Over 10.543.8%
Over 11.531.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.0%5.2%–36.0% CI
Draw FT30.0%14.5%–51.9% CI
Away FT55.0%34.2%–74.2% CI
Remaining goals
2.05
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.0%
2+ goals45.0%
3+ goals35.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away70.0%