Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 14:30
11.5063.9%
X4.5721.0%
26.3515.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

FC Koln
DLDDLWLLLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Darmstadt
LDLDLDDLDL
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
0.90
1.60
Conceded
2.50
30%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
2.30
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
3.00N=10
6.00
Against
6.80
12.10
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.90
1.60
Goals conceded
2.50
2.30
Total goals
3.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

FC Koln attack

0.70goals per match
Darmstadt conceded2.50
Matchup

Darmstadt attack

0.90goals per match
FC Koln conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.60
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
6.00
Corners against
6.80
12.10
Match total
9.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.60
Match total
4.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
21.50
Match total
24.70

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
4.20
On target
2.90
6%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches164
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.9%62.8%-1.1 pp
Draw21.0%19.5%-1.5 pp
Away15.1%17.7%+2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.559.1%
Over 3.537.2%
BTTS56.7%

Historical average

2.120.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.6%
2-111.0%
1-010.4%
2-010.4%
3-16.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.593.76
Average total10.35

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=164.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.5%
Over 9.556.7%
Over 10.543.3%
Over 11.534.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches43
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT51.2%36.8%–65.4% CI
Draw FT34.9%22.4%–49.8% CI
Away FT14.0%6.6%–27.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.91

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.7%
2+ goals60.5%
3+ goals25.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home79.1%
Away51.2%