Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 14:30
11.5063.9%
X4.5721.0%
26.3515.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
FC Koln
DLDDLWLLLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Darmstadt
LDLDLDDLDL
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
0.70
Scored
0.90
1.60
Conceded
2.50
30%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
2.30
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.10N=10
For
3.00N=10
6.00
Against
6.80
12.10
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.90
1.60
Goals conceded
2.50
2.30
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
FC Koln attack
0.70goals per matchDarmstadt conceded2.50Matchup
Darmstadt attack
0.90goals per matchFC Koln conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.60
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
6.00
Corners against
6.80
12.10
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.60
Match total
4.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.50N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
21.50
Match total
24.70
Shots
12.60N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
4.20
On target
2.90
6%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches164
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.9%62.8%-1.1 pp
Draw21.0%19.5%-1.5 pp
Away15.1%17.7%+2.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.559.1%
Over 3.537.2%
BTTS56.7%
Historical average
2.12–0.97
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-111.6%
2-111.0%
1-010.4%
2-010.4%
3-16.1%
Comparable corner averages
6.59–3.76
Average total10.35
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=164.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.5%
Over 9.556.7%
Over 10.543.3%
Over 11.534.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches43
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT51.2%36.8%–65.4% CI
Draw FT34.9%22.4%–49.8% CI
Away FT14.0%6.6%–27.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.91
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.7%
2+ goals60.5%
3+ goals25.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home79.1%
Away51.2%