Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-04-14 · 16:30
11.2079.7%
X7.2013.3%
213.637.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leverkusen
WWDWWDWWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Werder Bremen
DLDDWWWLLD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.10
0.40
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.80
1.50
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

8.70N=10
For
2.80N=10
2.80
Against
6.00
11.50
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.10
0.40
Goals conceded
1.20
2.70
Total goals
2.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Leverkusen attack

2.30goals per match
Werder Bremen conceded1.20
Matchup

Werder Bremen attack

1.10goals per match
Leverkusen conceded0.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.80
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.70N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
2.80
Corners against
6.00
11.50
Match total
8.80
90%9/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.40
Match total
6.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
19.90
Match total
25.80

Shots

20.40N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
7.60
On target
4.10
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches90
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home79.7%81.1%+1.4 pp
Draw13.3%12.2%-1.1 pp
Away7.0%6.7%-0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.591.1%
Over 2.570.0%
Over 3.545.6%
BTTS56.7%

Historical average

2.840.80

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-012.2%
2-111.1%
3-010.0%
1-18.9%
4-18.9%

Comparable corner averages

7.502.77
Average total10.27

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=90.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.0%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.542.2%
Over 11.534.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT68.2%47.3%–83.6% CI
Draw FT18.2%7.3%–38.5% CI
Away FT13.6%4.7%–33.3% CI

Remaining goals

2.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals72.7%
3+ goals36.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home90.9%
Away40.9%