Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-04-14 · 14:30
13.9624.2%
X3.9224.4%
21.8651.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Darmstadt
LDLLLDLLLL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM
Freiburg
LLWWLLLLWW
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
1.30
2.40
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.60
Against
9.00
8.60
Total
12.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.30
2.40
Goals conceded
1.70
3.00
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Darmstadt attack

0.60goals per match
Freiburg conceded1.70
Matchup

Freiburg attack

1.30goals per match
Darmstadt conceded2.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.60
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.70
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
4.60
Corners against
9.00
8.60
Match total
12.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.10
Match total
3.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
23.10
Match total
23.80

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
4.00
On target
3.80
5%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches162
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.2%24.7%+0.5 pp
Draw24.4%18.5%-5.9 pp
Away51.4%56.8%+5.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.534.6%
BTTS59.3%

Historical average

1.151.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-212.3%
0-18.6%
1-18.6%
0-28.0%
2-16.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.485.59
Average total10.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=162.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.4%
Over 9.551.9%
Over 10.539.5%
Over 11.527.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches49
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.4%13.0%–35.9% CI
Draw FT34.7%22.9%–48.7% CI
Away FT42.9%30.0%–56.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.6%
2+ goals49.0%
3+ goals20.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.0%
Away63.3%