Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-04-14 · 14:30
13.9624.2%
X3.9224.4%
21.8651.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Darmstadt
LDLLLDLLLL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM
Freiburg
LLWWLLLLWW
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
0.60
Scored
1.30
2.40
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
4.00N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.60
Against
9.00
8.60
Total
12.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.30
2.40
Goals conceded
1.70
3.00
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Darmstadt attack
0.60goals per matchFreiburg conceded1.70Matchup
Freiburg attack
1.30goals per matchDarmstadt conceded2.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.60
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.70
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
4.60
Corners against
9.00
8.60
Match total
12.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.10
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.80N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
23.10
Match total
23.80
Shots
11.80N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
4.00
On target
3.80
5%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches162
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.2%24.7%+0.5 pp
Draw24.4%18.5%-5.9 pp
Away51.4%56.8%+5.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.534.6%
BTTS59.3%
Historical average
1.15–1.86
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-212.3%
0-18.6%
1-18.6%
0-28.0%
2-16.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.48–5.59
Average total10.07
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=162.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.4%
Over 9.551.9%
Over 10.539.5%
Over 11.527.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches49
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.4%13.0%–35.9% CI
Draw FT34.7%22.9%–48.7% CI
Away FT42.9%30.0%–56.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.55
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.6%
2+ goals49.0%
3+ goals20.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home49.0%
Away63.3%