Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-04-13 · 14:30
13.2629.4%
X4.1023.4%
22.0347.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

M'gladbach
WWWDWLDWDL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Dortmund
LDDWWDDWWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.70
1.50
Conceded
0.60
90%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.20
2.30
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.70
Against
7.60
10.00
Total
11.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.70
1.50
Goals conceded
0.60
3.70
Total goals
2.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

M'gladbach attack

2.20goals per match
Dortmund conceded0.60
Matchup

Dortmund attack

1.70goals per match
M'gladbach conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
1.00
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.70
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.70
Corners against
7.60
10.00
Match total
11.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.50
Match total
3.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.10N=10
Committed
8.70N=10
23.80
Match total
20.00

Shots

15.50N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
5.20
On target
5.20
14%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.4%20.0%-9.4 pp
Draw23.4%40.0%+16.6 pp
Away47.2%40.0%-7.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.553.3%
BTTS86.7%

Historical average

1.672.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-120.0%
2-213.3%
0-06.7%
0-16.7%
3-26.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.604.60
Average total9.20

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.3%
Over 9.540.0%
Over 10.526.7%
Over 11.513.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches26
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.1%11.0%–42.1% CI
Draw FT50.0%32.1%–67.9% CI
Away FT26.9%13.7%–46.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.46

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.1%
2+ goals46.2%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.8%
Away57.7%