Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-04-13 · 14:30
11.9948.3%
X3.9324.4%
23.5227.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mainz
WLLDLDWDWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Hoffenheim
WDLLLLDWLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.50
0.60
Conceded
2.30
10%
Over 2.5
90%
30%
BTTS
90%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.40
0.90
2H goals
2.40
60%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

8.10N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.80
Against
6.80
11.90
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.50
0.60
Goals conceded
2.30
1.80
Total goals
3.80
60%6/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
10%1/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Mainz attack

1.20goals per match
Hoffenheim conceded2.30
Matchup

Hoffenheim attack

1.50goals per match
Mainz conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.10N=10
Corners for
2.20N=10
3.80
Corners against
6.80
11.90
Match total
9.00
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.50
Match total
4.10
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.60N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
28.80
Match total
21.50

Shots

16.40N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
5.10
On target
4.40
7%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches143
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.3%49.0%+0.7 pp
Draw24.4%26.6%+2.1 pp
Away27.3%24.5%-2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.531.5%
BTTS62.9%

Historical average

1.781.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.2%
1-011.2%
2-19.8%
1-27.0%
2-06.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.794.43
Average total10.22

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=143.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.9%
Over 9.558.7%
Over 10.545.5%
Over 11.536.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches39
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT61.5%45.9%–75.1% CI
Draw FT25.6%14.6%–41.1% CI
Away FT12.8%5.6%–26.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.64

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals48.7%
3+ goals17.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home82.1%
Away35.9%