Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-04-13 · 14:30
11.2079.9%
X7.7412.4%
212.417.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bayern Munich
WWWWLWWWWL
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
FC Koln
LDWLLDDDDD
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
3.20
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
1.80
70%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.10
2.90
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
7.80N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.00
Against
6.90
10.80
Total
10.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
3.20
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
1.80
4.00
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bayern Munich attack
3.20goals per matchFC Koln conceded1.80Matchup
FC Koln attack
0.90goals per matchBayern Munich conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
2.40
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.80N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.00
Corners against
6.90
10.80
Match total
10.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
2.60N=10
2.90
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.20N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
17.60
Match total
24.80
Shots
21.30N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
8.50
On target
3.70
15%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches39
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home79.9%69.2%-10.7 pp
Draw12.4%20.5%+8.1 pp
Away7.7%10.3%+2.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.587.2%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.546.2%
BTTS51.3%
Historical average
2.56–0.77
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-110.3%
3-010.3%
4-010.3%
2-010.3%
2-17.7%
Comparable corner averages
8.23–3.00
Average total11.23
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=39.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.579.5%
Over 9.566.7%
Over 10.559.0%
Over 11.541.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.6%28.3%–67.6% CI
Draw FT28.6%13.8%–50.0% CI
Away FT23.8%10.6%–45.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.76
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.5%
2+ goals57.1%
3+ goals23.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home76.2%
Away47.6%