Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-04-12 · 19:30
12.1345.1%
X3.4827.6%
23.5127.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Augsburg
WDWDLLDWWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Union Berlin
LLLDLLDWLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.20
1.30
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
20%
80%
BTTS
10%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.70
1.30
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.10
Against
6.40
9.70
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.20
1.30
Goals conceded
1.50
2.80
Total goals
1.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
80%8/10
BTTS
10%1/10
Matchup

Augsburg attack

1.50goals per match
Union Berlin conceded1.50
Matchup

Union Berlin attack

0.20goals per match
Augsburg conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.10
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.10
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
5.10
Corners against
6.40
9.70
Match total
9.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
0%0/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.70
Match total
4.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
23.50
Match total
20.70

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
4.80
On target
2.60
12%
Conversion
2%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches614
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.1%44.5%-0.6 pp
Draw27.6%30.0%+2.4 pp
Away27.3%25.6%-1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.528.0%
BTTS56.4%

Historical average

1.511.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.5%
1-010.7%
2-19.3%
0-07.5%
2-07.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.624.34
Average total9.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=614.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.0%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.540.7%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches200
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.5%28.3%–41.3% CI
Draw FT39.5%33.0%–46.4% CI
Away FT26.0%20.4%–32.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.0%
2+ goals41.0%
3+ goals17.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.5%
Away50.0%