Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-04-06 · 17:30
12.2742.3%
X3.9924.1%
22.8533.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Dortmund
WWLWLDWWLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Stuttgart
WLWLLLWWWW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.70
1.70
Conceded
1.40
80%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

2.30
1H goals
1.40
1.70
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.60
Against
4.00
10.10
Total
8.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.70
1.70
Goals conceded
1.40
4.00
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Dortmund attack

2.30goals per match
Stuttgart conceded1.40
Matchup

Stuttgart attack

1.70goals per match
Dortmund conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.90
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.60
Corners against
4.00
10.10
Match total
8.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.80
Match total
4.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

8.90N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
19.80
Match total
22.90

Shots

17.50N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
6.70
On target
4.80
13%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.3%30.8%-11.5 pp
Draw24.1%30.8%+6.7 pp
Away33.7%38.5%+4.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.538.5%
BTTS92.3%

Historical average

1.462.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-123.1%
1-123.1%
1-37.7%
1-27.7%
0-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

7.464.00
Average total11.46

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.2%
Over 9.546.2%
Over 10.530.8%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Draw FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Away FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI

Remaining goals

2.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.7%
2+ goals75.0%
3+ goals41.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.3%
Away75.0%