Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-04-06 · 17:30
12.2742.3%
X3.9924.1%
22.8533.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Dortmund
WWLWLDWWLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Stuttgart
WLWLLLWWWW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
2.30
Scored
1.70
1.70
Conceded
1.40
80%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
50%
By half
2.30
1H goals
1.40
1.70
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.50N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.60
Against
4.00
10.10
Total
8.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.70
1.70
Goals conceded
1.40
4.00
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Dortmund attack
2.30goals per matchStuttgart conceded1.40Matchup
Stuttgart attack
1.70goals per matchDortmund conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.90
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.60
Corners against
4.00
10.10
Match total
8.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.80
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.90N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
19.80
Match total
22.90
Shots
17.50N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
6.70
On target
4.80
13%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.3%30.8%-11.5 pp
Draw24.1%30.8%+6.7 pp
Away33.7%38.5%+4.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.538.5%
BTTS92.3%
Historical average
1.46–2.08
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-123.1%
1-123.1%
1-37.7%
1-27.7%
0-27.7%
Comparable corner averages
7.46–4.00
Average total11.46
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.2%
Over 9.546.2%
Over 10.530.8%
Over 11.530.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Draw FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Away FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Remaining goals
2.33
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal91.7%
2+ goals75.0%
3+ goals41.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home58.3%
Away75.0%