Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-04-06 · 14:30
16.0216.0%
X4.2822.4%
21.5661.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Union Berlin
LLDWWWWDLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Leverkusen
WWWDWWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
2.20
1.30
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
6.60N=10
4.40
Against
2.90
9.60
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
2.20
1.30
Goals conceded
0.90
2.50
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Union Berlin attack

1.20goals per match
Leverkusen conceded0.90
Matchup

Leverkusen attack

2.20goals per match
Union Berlin conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.00
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
6.60N=10
4.40
Corners against
2.90
9.60
Match total
9.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.40
Match total
4.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
7.80N=10
21.90
Match total
19.60

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
16.90N=10
4.60
On target
5.50
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches109
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.0%11.0%-5.0 pp
Draw22.4%19.3%-3.2 pp
Away61.6%69.7%+8.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.530.3%
BTTS53.2%

Historical average

0.742.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-213.8%
0-112.8%
1-111.9%
0-211.9%
1-310.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.895.93
Average total9.82

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=109.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.2%
Over 9.553.2%
Over 10.543.1%
Over 11.533.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches37
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.8%4.3%–24.7% CI
Draw FT27.0%15.4%–43.0% CI
Away FT62.2%46.1%–75.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.59

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.5%
2+ goals48.6%
3+ goals21.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home37.8%
Away78.4%