Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-04-06 · 14:30
11.4267.7%
X4.8719.7%
27.6312.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mainz
LWLLDLDWDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Darmstadt
WLDLDLDDLD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.10
0.90
Conceded
2.20
10%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.00
0.70
2H goals
2.30
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.80N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.40
Against
6.70
12.20
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.10
0.90
Goals conceded
2.20
1.80
Total goals
3.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Mainz attack

0.90goals per match
Darmstadt conceded2.20
Matchup

Darmstadt attack

1.10goals per match
Mainz conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.80
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.80N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
4.40
Corners against
6.70
12.20
Match total
10.00
100%10/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.10N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.50
Match total
4.50
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.20N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
28.50
Match total
24.70

Shots

16.00N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
4.50
On target
3.20
6%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches221
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home67.7%72.4%+4.7 pp
Draw19.7%15.4%-4.3 pp
Away12.6%12.2%-0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.535.7%
BTTS47.5%

Historical average

2.290.76

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-014.9%
1-012.2%
2-112.2%
2-26.8%
4-05.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.623.44
Average total10.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=221.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.551.1%
Over 10.541.6%
Over 11.532.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches48
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.4%46.3%–73.0% CI
Draw FT25.0%14.9%–38.8% CI
Away FT14.6%7.2%–27.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.71

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals20.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home77.1%
Away35.4%