Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-04-06 · 14:30
11.4267.7%
X4.8719.7%
27.6312.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Mainz
LWLLDLDWDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Darmstadt
WLDLDLDDLD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
1.10
0.90
Conceded
2.20
10%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.00
0.70
2H goals
2.30
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
7.80N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.40
Against
6.70
12.20
Total
10.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.10
0.90
Goals conceded
2.20
1.80
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Mainz attack
0.90goals per matchDarmstadt conceded2.20Matchup
Darmstadt attack
1.10goals per matchMainz conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.80
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.80N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
4.40
Corners against
6.70
12.20
Match total
10.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.10N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.50
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.20N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
28.50
Match total
24.70
Shots
16.00N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
4.50
On target
3.20
6%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches221
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home67.7%72.4%+4.7 pp
Draw19.7%15.4%-4.3 pp
Away12.6%12.2%-0.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.535.7%
BTTS47.5%
Historical average
2.29–0.76
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-014.9%
1-012.2%
2-112.2%
2-26.8%
4-05.9%
Comparable corner averages
6.62–3.44
Average total10.06
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=221.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.551.1%
Over 10.541.6%
Over 11.532.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches48
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.4%46.3%–73.0% CI
Draw FT25.0%14.9%–38.8% CI
Away FT14.6%7.2%–27.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.71
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals20.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home77.1%
Away35.4%