Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-04-06 · 14:30
17.2113.3%
X5.8816.3%
21.3670.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heidenheim
LWDWWDDLLD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Bayern Munich
WWWLWWLLDW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
2.30
1.50
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
90%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
2.40
1.70
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
7.10N=10
4.30
Against
2.60
10.80
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
2.30
1.50
Goals conceded
1.90
2.90
Total goals
4.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Heidenheim attack

1.40goals per match
Bayern Munich conceded1.90
Matchup

Bayern Munich attack

2.30goals per match
Heidenheim conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.40
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
7.10N=10
4.30
Corners against
2.60
10.80
Match total
9.70
90%9/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
90%9/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.20
Match total
4.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
8.60N=10
22.00
Match total
19.70

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
17.60N=10
3.40
On target
6.10
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home13.3%26.7%+13.4 pp
Draw16.3%0.0%-16.3 pp
Away70.4%73.3%+2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.560.0%
BTTS33.3%

Historical average

0.872.53

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-426.7%
0-113.3%
1-013.3%
1-26.7%
3-26.7%

Comparable corner averages

2.937.93
Average total10.87

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.3%
Over 9.573.3%
Over 10.566.7%
Over 11.560.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI

Remaining goals

2.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals70.0%
3+ goals40.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.0%
Away60.0%