Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-04-06 · 14:30
14.6320.7%
X4.2722.5%
21.6956.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Freiburg
WDDWDWLDDL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
RB Leipzig
WLLWDLDLWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
2.20
1.80
Conceded
1.90
70%
Over 2.5
80%
80%
BTTS
90%

By half

2.20
1H goals
1.50
1.50
2H goals
2.60
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
5.00N=10
3.40
Against
3.70
8.10
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
2.20
1.80
Goals conceded
1.90
3.70
Total goals
4.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Freiburg attack

1.90goals per match
RB Leipzig conceded1.90
Matchup

RB Leipzig attack

2.20goals per match
Freiburg conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.70
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
3.40
Corners against
3.70
8.10
Match total
8.70
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.60
Match total
5.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
21.30
Match total
23.20

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
14.50N=10
5.50
On target
6.00
13%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches84
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.7%25.0%+4.3 pp
Draw22.5%17.9%-4.6 pp
Away56.8%57.1%+0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.560.7%
Over 3.529.8%
BTTS61.9%

Historical average

1.181.75

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-215.5%
0-111.9%
1-110.7%
2-19.5%
1-36.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.555.77
Average total10.32

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=84.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.1%
Over 9.556.0%
Over 10.547.6%
Over 11.539.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.9%20.3%–61.4% CI
Draw FT33.3%16.3%–56.3% CI
Away FT27.8%12.5%–50.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.72

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals61.1%
3+ goals27.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.1%
Away61.1%