Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-03-30 · 17:30
11.4068.4%
X5.7116.8%
26.4714.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bayern Munich
WWWWWLWWWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Dortmund
DLDDWWDDWW
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

3.50
Scored
1.80
0.60
Conceded
0.90
80%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.40
2.90
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.80N=10
For
4.10N=10
2.70
Against
6.90
10.50
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.50
Goals scored
1.80
0.60
Goals conceded
0.90
4.10
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Bayern Munich attack

3.50goals per match
Dortmund conceded0.90
Matchup

Dortmund attack

1.80goals per match
Bayern Munich conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
1.00
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
2.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.80N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
2.70
Corners against
6.90
10.50
Match total
11.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.00
Match total
3.80
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.20N=10
Committed
9.00N=10
17.70
Match total
20.70

Shots

21.80N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
8.70
On target
5.10
16%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home68.4%66.7%-1.8 pp
Draw16.8%26.7%+9.9 pp
Away14.8%6.7%-8.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.573.3%
Over 3.546.7%
BTTS60.0%

Historical average

2.531.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.3%
3-013.3%
3-213.3%
4-26.7%
4-06.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.003.67
Average total9.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.546.7%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT55.0%34.2%–74.2% CI
Draw FT35.0%18.1%–56.7% CI
Away FT10.0%2.8%–30.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.60

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.0%
Away35.0%