Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-03-30 · 14:30
11.3869.4%
X5.3018.1%
27.6512.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

RB Leipzig
DWWWWLLWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Mainz
DDDDDDLLLL
0W 6D 4L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
0.90
0.70
Conceded
2.00
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.40
1.30
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.80N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.50
Against
4.90
11.30
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
0.90
0.70
Goals conceded
2.00
2.90
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

RB Leipzig attack

2.20goals per match
Mainz conceded2.00
Matchup

Mainz attack

0.90goals per match
RB Leipzig conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.80N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.50
Corners against
4.90
11.30
Match total
8.90
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.20
Match total
4.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.80N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
22.60
Match total
23.90

Shots

20.00N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
7.90
On target
4.10
11%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches63
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.4%71.4%+2.0 pp
Draw18.1%23.8%+5.7 pp
Away12.5%4.8%-7.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.544.4%
BTTS54.0%

Historical average

2.440.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-014.3%
2-212.7%
1-011.1%
2-19.5%
3-06.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.943.35
Average total9.29

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=63.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.1%
Over 9.546.0%
Over 10.536.5%
Over 11.527.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.6%
Away27.3%