Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-03-30 · 14:30
12.2343.0%
X3.6826.1%
23.1130.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

M'gladbach
DWWWDWLDWD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Freiburg
LLLWWLLLLW
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.00
1.40
Conceded
2.00
90%
Over 2.5
80%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.20
2.30
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.90
Against
8.30
9.80
Total
11.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 2.5 goals

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded
2.00
3.80
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

M'gladbach attack

2.40goals per match
Freiburg conceded2.00
Matchup

Freiburg attack

1.00goals per match
M'gladbach conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.90
Corners against
8.30
9.80
Match total
11.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.80
Match total
3.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
23.80
Match total
23.50

Shots

15.70N=10
Shots
7.50N=10
5.70
On target
3.00
15%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches257
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.0%41.6%-1.4 pp
Draw26.1%26.5%+0.4 pp
Away30.9%31.9%+1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.558.4%
Over 3.537.4%
BTTS55.6%

Historical average

1.581.34

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-09.7%
0-08.9%
1-18.9%
1-26.6%
2-16.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.584.71
Average total10.29

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=256.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.9%
Over 9.559.0%
Over 10.547.7%
Over 11.536.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches78
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%28.4%–49.6% CI
Draw FT41.0%30.8%–52.1% CI
Away FT20.5%13.0%–30.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.5%
2+ goals37.2%
3+ goals17.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.1%
Away37.2%