Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-03-30 · 14:30
11.2278.8%
X7.3613.1%
211.778.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leverkusen
WWWDWWDWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Hoffenheim
WWDLLLLDWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.70
0.30
Conceded
2.30
70%
Over 2.5
90%
30%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.60
1.40
2H goals
2.40
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

8.90N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.00
Against
6.30
11.90
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.70
0.30
Goals conceded
2.30
2.70
Total goals
4.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Leverkusen attack

2.40goals per match
Hoffenheim conceded2.30
Matchup

Hoffenheim attack

1.70goals per match
Leverkusen conceded0.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.90
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.80
0.10
2H goals conceded
1.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.90N=10
Corners for
2.40N=10
3.00
Corners against
6.30
11.90
Match total
8.70
90%9/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.60
Match total
4.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
19.80
Match total
21.90

Shots

18.90N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
7.40
On target
4.60
13%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches36
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home78.8%55.6%-23.2 pp
Draw13.1%22.2%+9.2 pp
Away8.2%22.2%+14.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.1%
Over 2.569.4%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS58.3%

Historical average

2.501.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

4-18.3%
1-18.3%
1-28.3%
2-08.3%
0-05.6%

Comparable corner averages

8.393.06
Average total11.44

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=36.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.577.8%
Over 9.563.9%
Over 10.555.6%
Over 11.544.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Draw FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Away FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.80

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals40.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away70.0%