Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-03-17 · 16:30
11.6259.0%
X4.4321.6%
24.9219.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Dortmund
WWWLWLDWWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Ein Frankfurt
WWDLLWDLDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.70
1.60
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

2.10
1H goals
1.60
1.60
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.60
Against
6.40
9.80
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.70
1.60
Goals conceded
1.60
3.70
Total goals
3.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Dortmund attack

2.10goals per match
Ein Frankfurt conceded1.60
Matchup

Ein Frankfurt attack

1.70goals per match
Dortmund conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
1.00
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.60
Corners against
6.40
9.80
Match total
10.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.60
Match total
2.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

9.30N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
20.70
Match total
18.00

Shots

17.70N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
6.50
On target
4.00
12%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches72
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.0%59.7%+0.7 pp
Draw21.6%20.8%-0.7 pp
Away19.4%19.4%+0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.563.9%
Over 3.541.7%
BTTS58.3%

Historical average

2.211.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-012.5%
1-111.1%
2-19.7%
3-06.9%
4-06.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.503.75
Average total10.25

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=72.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.8%
Over 9.556.9%
Over 10.543.1%
Over 11.527.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.8%12.5%–50.9% CI
Draw FT50.0%29.0%–71.0% CI
Away FT22.2%9.0%–45.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals55.6%
3+ goals11.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.1%
Away50.0%