Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-03-17 · 14:30
15.6916.8%
X4.3522.0%
21.5661.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Freiburg
WWDDWDWLDD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Leverkusen
WWWWDWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
2.20
1.50
Conceded
0.70
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
5.90N=10
2.90
Against
3.00
7.60
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
2.20
1.50
Goals conceded
0.70
3.40
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Freiburg attack

1.90goals per match
Leverkusen conceded0.70
Matchup

Leverkusen attack

2.20goals per match
Freiburg conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.90
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
2.90
Corners against
3.00
7.60
Match total
8.90
30%3/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.90
Match total
4.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
8.30N=10
22.40
Match total
20.10

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
15.70N=10
5.50
On target
5.10
13%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches155
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.8%9.7%-7.1 pp
Draw22.0%21.9%-0.0 pp
Away61.2%68.4%+7.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.558.7%
Over 3.534.2%
BTTS53.5%

Historical average

0.802.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-213.5%
0-111.6%
0-211.0%
1-110.3%
0-37.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.125.88
Average total10.01

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=154.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.2%
Over 9.555.8%
Over 10.542.2%
Over 11.530.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches45
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT11.1%4.8%–23.5% CI
Draw FT33.3%21.4%–47.9% CI
Away FT55.6%41.2%–69.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.51

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.7%
2+ goals46.7%
3+ goals15.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home37.8%
Away77.8%