Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-03-16 · 17:30
13.7525.6%
X4.1523.1%
21.8751.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hoffenheim
LLLDWDDDLW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Stuttgart
WWLWLLLWWW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.60
1.80
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
70%
90%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
3.90N=10
3.50
Against
4.30
9.30
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.60
1.80
Goals conceded
1.40
3.30
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Hoffenheim attack

1.50goals per match
Stuttgart conceded1.40
Matchup

Stuttgart attack

1.60goals per match
Hoffenheim conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
3.50
Corners against
4.30
9.30
Match total
8.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.30N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.80
Match total
4.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
22.30
Match total
23.30

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
5.70
On target
4.00
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches26
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.6%23.1%-2.5 pp
Draw23.1%34.6%+11.5 pp
Away51.3%42.3%-9.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.534.6%
BTTS65.4%

Historical average

1.151.62

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-119.2%
2-311.5%
0-011.5%
1-27.7%
3-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.816.58
Average total10.38

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=26.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.576.9%
Over 9.557.7%
Over 10.553.8%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Draw FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI
Away FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal60.0%
2+ goals30.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home30.0%
Away40.0%