Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-03-16 · 14:30
12.0347.2%
X3.5626.9%
23.7025.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Union Berlin
LLLDWWWWDL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Werder Bremen
LLDLDDWWWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.10
1.40
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.90N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.70
Against
5.90
10.60
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.10
1.40
Goals conceded
1.40
2.40
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Union Berlin attack
1.00goals per matchWerder Bremen conceded1.40Matchup
Werder Bremen attack
1.10goals per matchUnion Berlin conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.90
10.60
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.00
Match total
5.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.00N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
21.10
Match total
25.50
Shots
13.70N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
4.70
On target
4.00
7%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches646
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.2%45.8%-1.4 pp
Draw26.9%28.3%+1.4 pp
Away25.9%25.9%-0.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.525.1%
BTTS52.8%
Historical average
1.51–1.05
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.0%
1-010.8%
2-19.4%
0-18.5%
2-08.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.53–4.49
Average total10.02
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=646.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.0%
Over 9.551.4%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.531.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches218
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT39.9%33.6%–46.5% CI
Draw FT35.3%29.3%–41.9% CI
Away FT24.8%19.5%–30.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.40
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.0%
2+ goals39.0%
3+ goals17.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home56.4%
Away45.9%