Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-03-16 · 14:30
11.7853.9%
X3.8824.7%
24.4721.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mainz
LLWLLDLDWD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Bochum
LDLWDLLLDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
0.80
1.20
Conceded
2.60
20%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
2.00
0.80
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

7.40N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.90
Against
6.80
11.30
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.80
1.20
Goals conceded
2.60
1.90
Total goals
3.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Mainz attack

0.70goals per match
Bochum conceded2.60
Matchup

Bochum attack

0.80goals per match
Mainz conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.40N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
3.90
Corners against
6.80
11.30
Match total
10.00
90%9/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.10N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.30
Match total
4.90
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.00N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
27.90
Match total
23.00

Shots

15.70N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
4.40
On target
3.40
4%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches441
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.9%55.3%+1.5 pp
Draw24.7%26.3%+1.6 pp
Away21.4%18.4%-3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.527.4%
BTTS56.7%

Historical average

1.780.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.3%
1-011.6%
2-111.6%
2-08.6%
3-06.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.103.92
Average total10.02

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=441.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.0%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.529.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches124
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.6%39.0%–56.3% CI
Draw FT35.5%27.6%–44.2% CI
Away FT16.9%11.4%–24.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.57

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.8%
2+ goals49.2%
3+ goals21.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.1%
Away44.4%