Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-03-16 · 14:30
12.4539.1%
X3.6426.3%
22.7834.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heidenheim
WLWDWWDDLL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
M'gladbach
WLDLLLDLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.30
1.40
Conceded
2.20
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.90
1.70
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.60
Against
7.40
10.60
Total
11.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded
2.20
2.80
Total goals
3.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Heidenheim attack

1.40goals per match
M'gladbach conceded2.20
Matchup

M'gladbach attack

1.30goals per match
Heidenheim conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.00
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.60
Corners against
7.40
10.60
Match total
11.90
90%9/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.10
Match total
4.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
22.10
Match total
22.10

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
3.30
On target
3.70
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches150
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.1%42.0%+2.9 pp
Draw26.3%24.0%-2.3 pp
Away34.5%34.0%-0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.565.3%
Over 3.539.3%
BTTS71.3%

Historical average

1.701.47

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-212.7%
1-111.3%
2-110.7%
3-17.3%
2-26.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.105.22
Average total10.32

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=150.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.0%
Over 9.554.7%
Over 10.544.0%
Over 11.538.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches30
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%19.2%–51.2% CI
Draw FT43.3%27.4%–60.8% CI
Away FT23.3%11.8%–40.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.3%
2+ goals46.7%
3+ goals23.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away50.0%